Tuesday, January 11, 2022

Low Housing Supply Presses on Contract Signings









Pending home sales dropped in November as many markets continued to face a limited supply of homes for sale. Economists, however, are optimistic for more opportunities for buyers in the new year.


The National Association of REALTORS®’ Pending Home Sales Index—a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings—dropped 2.2% in November, reversing from last month’s increase. All major regions of the U.S. posted declines last month. Pending home sales are also down 2.7% compared to a year ago.


Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, attributes November’s dip in contract signings to the low housing supply and to home buyers who may be growing more hesitant due to rapidly increasing home prices. The omicron variant may also be creating more hesitancy in the housing market, Yun adds.


Still, he says buyers’ overall appetite for housing remains high. Homes placed on the market go on sale from listed status to under contract in about 18 days, he says.


“Buyer competition alone is unrelenting, but home seekers have also had to contend with the negative impacts of supply chain disruptions and labor shortages this year,” Yun says.“These aspects, along with the exorbitant prices and a lack of available homes, have created a much tougher buying season.”


Yun expects more openings in the housing market in the new year. “While I expect neither a price reduction nor another year of record-pace price gains, the market will see more inventory in 2022 and that will help some consumers with affordability,” he adds.







 


Source: National Association of REALTORS®



Monday, January 10, 2022

7 REASONS TO WORK WITH A REALTOR®






REALTORS® are members of the National Association of REALTORS® and subscribe to its strict Code of Ethics. When you’re buying a home, here’s what an agent who’s a REALTOR® can do for you.


 






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  1. Act as an expert guide. Buying a home typically requires a variety of forms, reports, disclosures, and other legal and financial documents. A knowledgeable real estate agent will know what’s required in your market, helping you avoid delays and costly mistakes. Also, there’s a lot of jargon involved in a real estate transaction; you want to work with a professional who can speak the language.




  2. Offer objective information and opinions. A great real estate agent will guide you through the home search with an unbiased eye, helping you meet your buying objectives while staying within your budget. Agents are also a great source when you have questions about local amenities, utilities, zoning rules, contractors, and more.




  3. Give you expanded search power. You want access to the full range of opportunities. Using a cooperative system called the multiple listing service, your agent can help you evaluate all active listings that meet your criteria, alert you to listings soon to come on the market, and provide data on recent sales. Your agent can also save you time by helping you winnow away properties that are still appearing on public sites but are no longer on the market.




  4. Stand in your corner during negotiations. There are many factors up for discussion in any real estate transaction—from price to repairs to possession date. A real estate professional who’s representing you will look at the transaction from your perspective, helping you negotiate a purchase agreement that meets your needs and allows you to do due diligence before you’re bound to the purchase.




  5. Ensure an up-to-date experience. Most people buy only a few homes in a lifetime, usually with quite a few years between purchases. Even if you’ve bought a home before, laws and regulations change. Real estate practitioners may handle hundreds or thousands of transactions over the course of their career.




  6. Be your rock during emotional moments. A home is so much more than four walls and a roof. And for most buyers, a home is the biggest purchase they’ll ever make. Having a concerned, but objective, third party helps you stay focused on the issues most important to you when emotions threaten to sink an otherwise sound transaction.




  7. Provide fair and ethical treatment. When you’re interviewing agents, ask if they’re a REALTOR®, a member of the National Association of REALTORS®. Every member must adhere to the REALTOR® Code of Ethics, which is based on professionalism, serving the interests of clients, and protecting the public.







Friday, January 7, 2022

HUD ALLOCATES $2M FOR FLORIDA VETERAN HOUSING




The money goes to 10 local agencies across the state. Nationwide, HUD is providing $18M to support U.S. vets facing or experiencing homelessness.


The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) awarded over $18 million in HUD-Veterans Affairs Supportive Housing (HUD-VASH) vouchers to 103 Public Housing Agencies (PHAs) in 33 states. The funding supports veterans experiencing homelessness.


In Florida, 10 local agencies have been allocated over $2 million ($2,021,110) of that money, or about 11% of the total.


Florida HUD-VASH recipients




  • West Palm Beach Housing: $97,690




  • Housing Authority of the City of Lakeland: $60,370




  • Housing Authority of the City of Miami Beach: $181,395




  • Ocala Housing Authority: $110,691




  • Hialeah Housing Authority: $527,460




  • Tallahassee Housing Authority: $308,607




  • Broward County Housing Authority: $325,002




  • Delray Beach Housing Authority: $315,656




  • Indian River County Board of County Commissioners: $ 43,056




  • Citrus County Housing Services: $51,183




The round of allocations will support 2,050 HUD-VASH vouchers nationally, bringing the total number of current HUD-VASH vouchers to 106,704.


The HUD-VASH program provides housing and support services to veterans experiencing homelessness by combining rental assistance from HUD with case management and clinical services provided by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA).


“The HUD-VA Supportive Housing program (VASH) has been a flagship of HUD and VA’s effort to end veteran homelessness,” says HUD Deputy Secretary Adrianne Todman. “Since its inception, VASH has helped tens of thousands of veterans move from homelessness into permanent housing and receive supportive services along the way.”


Source: Florida Realtors®



Thursday, January 6, 2022

FLORIDIANS MORE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE FUTURE




UF’s monthly sentiment index ticked up 2.6 points in Dec. Current attitudes were mixed, but people showed increased optimism about the economy later this year.


 


After four months of consecutive declines, consumer sentiment among Floridians rose to 72.2 in December, up 2.6 points from November’s revised figure of 69.6. That increase was also reflected in a study of national consumers.


“Though consumer sentiment among Floridians ended 2021 on a positive note, the continuing declines experienced during the second half of the year have left a 10-point gap between this month’s figure and December of last year,” says Hector H. Sandoval, director of the Economic Analysis Program at UF’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research. “In fact, consumer confidence has been declining over the past two consecutive years.”


Among the five components that make up the total index, four increased and one decreased.


Current conditions: Floridians’ opinions about current economic conditions were mixed. Views of personal financial situations now compared with a year ago decreased slightly, two-tenths of a point from 65.0 to 64.8. In contrast, opinions as to whether it’s a good time to buy a major household item like an appliance increased 2.9 points from 58.3 to 61.2.


UF says that upward trend is shared by all Floridians, and it’s “particularly strong” among people with an annual income above $50,000.


Future expectations: All three components that measure Floridians’ opinions about the future rose this month:




  • Expectations of personal finances a year from now increased 3.4 points, from 83.9 to 87.3




  • U.S. economic conditions over the next year rose 5.1 points, from 68.1 to 73.2




  • The outlook for U.S. economic conditions over the next five years increased 2.2 points, from 72.5 to 74.7




According to UF, those rosier future expectations applied to almost all Floridians except for people age 60 and older, who have pessimistic viewpoints regarding both their personal finances a year from now and the nation’s economic outlook over the next five years.


Attitudes appear to have improved along with other Florida economic indicators.


Florida’s labor market continued to recover in the final months of the year. In November, the state’s unemployment rate was 4.5%, down 0.9% from a year ago. Similarly, new applications for unemployment benefits have remained low. However, inflation accelerated in November reaching a 39-year high.


“The increasing cost of everyday essentials such as food and gasoline could reduce spending elsewhere, thus slowing the economic recovery,” Sandoval says.


“Floridians’ optimistic opinions about the national economy over the next year suggest that they anticipate improved economic prospects in 2022. Nevertheless, the rising Covid-19 cases due to the fast-spreading omicron variant are expected to slow economic activity in the short run, as demonstrated by the recent disruptions in air travel. As a result, we expect consumer confidence to remain weak in the first months of 2022,” Sandoval adds.


 


Source: Florida Realtors®



Wednesday, January 5, 2022

STUDY SUGGESTS MORE OWNERS READY TO LIST




The current market favors sellers, but owners see slowing price increases and buyers being priced out of the market. Many who held off may decide it’s time to sell.


 


Some possible good news for buyers – more inventory could be headed to the South Florida market in the coming months, as sellers become more willing to list their homes.


A survey of 1,300 consumers by realtor.com, conducted in fall of 2021, revealed that 65% of homeowners across the country planned on selling their home within the next six months, while 26% of homeowners planned on selling their home within the next year.


“Sellers are recognizing that the markets are leaning heavily in their favor, with millions of millennials entering their 30s and seeking to buy their first home while taking advantage of low interest rates,” said George Ratiu, manager of economic research at realtor.com.


It may be good news for buyers, who have been dealing with record low inventory in South Florida over the past year-and-a-half. According to October numbers from the Broward, Palm Beach and St. Lucie Realtors, single family home inventory dropped 53% in Palm Beach County to 1.3 months of inventory. For Broward County, inventory of single family homes plummeted 44% in October compared to the previous year to 1.4 month’s worth of inventory. In Miami Dade County, inventory in the county dropped 40% year over year to 2.2 month’s worth of inventory.


The realtor.com survey also indicated that 2021 saw an increase in listings over time. In spring, 9% of sellers said they’d already listed their home when surveyed. That number jumped to 19% in the fall. The survey was conducted on a national level, so South Florida housing market and sellers may react differently.


It’s not uncommon for sellers to list more actively in the beginning of the year, as it’s usually a high point for new listings, said Bonnie Heatzig, executive director of luxury sales at Douglas Elliman in Boca Raton.


For Heatzig, she said she’s seeing sellers who are slightly more open to the idea of selling their home now than they were earlier in 2021. She notes that any reluctance that they may have is tied to worries that they may not be able to find a suitable home in their price range in today’s current market.


“The most compelling reason I am hearing from those willing to sell … is that they want to capitalize on the higher sale prices, coupled with the fact that their homes no longer fit their needs or desires,” added Heatzig.


Sellers’ desire to capitalize on the market grew from the spring to the fall, too, according to the realtor.com survey. A little under 25% of sellers wanted to sell to take advantage of the current market in the spring, with the number rising to 35% in the fall. Around 13% of sellers wanted to sell because they saw news it was a seller’s market, according to the spring survey. But in fall, that number jumped to 30%.


Jeff Grant with ReMAX Realty in Palm Beach Gardens said that while he has seen a steady stream of sellers, he expects to see single family home listings increase in January, with more condos being listed in the spring, adding that many potential sellers are trying to capitalize on high seasonal rent prices currently.


It remains to be seen if these national numbers would play out in South Florida. Demand is so high that it may not make much of a difference in alleviating current pressure on the housing market, local real estate agents say. Home prices in South Florida are expected to increase at a slower pace in the new year, by about 5.8%.


“I think that the current backlog of buyers will continue to put pressure on the market and any new inventory will be absorbed quickly in multiple offer situations,” said Grant.


 


Source: Sun Sentinel & Florida Realtors



Tuesday, January 4, 2022

Housing Market Likely to Normalize in 2022







Experts: Housing Market Likely to ‘Normalize’ in 2022








While strong homebuyer demand and inventory shortages will continue into 2022, the housing market is unlikely to repeat this year’s dizzying heights, in which existing-home sales reached their highest point in 15 years with an estimated 6 million sales. Slower growth in home prices, decelerating inflation, and multiple interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could contribute to a more normal housing market in the new year, National Association of REALTORS® Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said Wednesday during NAR’s virtual Real Estate Forecast Summit. Yun presented a consensus real estate forecast based on a survey of 20 leading economists.








For 2022, the group of experts predicts that annual median home prices will increase 5.7% and inflation will rise 4%. “Overall, survey participants believe we’ll see the housing market and broader economy normalize next year,” Yun said. In addition, Yun expects existing-home sales will decline to 5.9 million in 2022 and housing starts will increase modestly to 1.67 million as the pandemic’s supply chain backlogs subside.


Housing affordability remains a concern. Even if the market begins to settle down, affordability issues likely will continue to dampen homebuying prospects for many would-be owners. Housing affordability had already reached crisis levels before the pandemic added to the strain, said Todd M. Richardson, general deputy assistant secretary at the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s Office of Policy Development and Research.


However, the Biden administration’s Build Back Better plan offers several programs that have the potential to increase housing access for all. The bill provides $10 billion in down payment assistance for first-generation home buyers, $24 billion for housing choice voucher rental assistance, and $15 billion for the Housing Trust Fund to build and preserve over 150,000 affordable homes for low-income households. “Our programs are about unlocking possibilities,” said Richardson. “Support is needed most for housing in low- to moderate-income communities.”


Manufactured housing offers a potential source of inventory that could help ease the housing crunch. Affordable entry-level homes continue to be among the units in shortest supply, and modern manufactured housing—with its high-quality factory construction and lower per-unit cost—could help fill in some of the gaps, said Lesli Gooch, CEO of the Manufactured Housing Institute. In addition, manufactured homes could offer wealth-building opportunities for buyers. “Research by LendingTree shows that, from 2014 to 2019, the median value of manufactured homes increased by 40%—six points above site-built homes,” said Gooch.


Naa Awaa Tagoe, acting deputy director at the Division of Housing Mission and Goals at the Federal Housing Finance Agency, seconded the call for more affordable housing and shared her agency’s strategies in 2022 for increasing equitable access to homeownership and rentals. Appraisal efficiency, small-balance mortgage purchases and refinances, and low-income housing tax credits are among the division’s top priorities for 2022, said Tagoe.


Regional differences could affect the housing market. Housing prices are likely to moderate nationwide, but regional variation could occur in 2022. Overpriced areas with lower predicted population growth will experience a greater slowing of prices compared to those with higher predicted growth, said Ken H. Johnson, associate dean of graduate programs at Florida Atlantic University. “Everyone will experience moderation, but there will be differences,” he said.


Strong building starts in the suburbs could be good news for first-time buyers. Businesses are competing for workers right now, said realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale, and that means buyers could have more flexibility in choosing where they live. In contrast to Yun, who saw “hidden gem real estate markets” in the South, Hale counseled would-be buyers to look further north. “The Mountain West, pockets of the Northeast, South, and Midwest are all locations where affordability creates incentives,” said Hale.


Demographics offer insight into the future. Jessica Lautz, NAR’s vice president of behavioral insights and demographics, offered highlights from the 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, noting several demographic trends that will continue to affect the housing market into 2022 and beyond:



  • Baby boomers want to age in place and will continue to hold onto their homes, contributing to the ongoing inventory shortfall.

  • Millennials are the largest generation of potential buyers, but they face significant headwinds, such as low inventory, high prices, and student loan debt.

  • A drop in the birth rate to a 100-year low could contribute to continued stagnation in the market: The birth of a child is often a motive to buy, and a child moving out is often an impetus to downsize and sell.


Commercial offers opportunities for growth. Commercial experts on the panel offered their predictions for 2022:



  • Multifamily: Rents will likely continue to increase, though part of that accounts for a continued correction from the declines in 2020. Rental units, like single-family homes, are in short supply, and ramping up construction could alleviate some of the strain.

  • Industrial: Despite a drop in cap rates, industrial will continue to thrive, with retailers leasing more warehouse space to hold inventory and manufacturers increasing production in the U.S.

  • Retail: Brick-and-mortar stores will attract foot traffic with innovations such as livestreaming of products, custom concierge services, and curated local offerings.

  • Hotels and lodging: Hotels will continue to struggle with a labor shortage that is affecting capacity. The industry needs to get out the message that hotel jobs are steady, provide good pay, and offer upward mobility.

  • Office: This sector is still in the middle of its recovery. The stage is set for growth in the second half of 2022, with central city cores emerging as important hubs for workers commuting from greater distances.








Monday, January 3, 2022

The History of New Year’s Resolutions




The custom of making New Year’s resolutions has been around for thousands of years, but it hasn’t always looked the way it does today.


The ancient Babylonians are said to have been the first people to make New Year’s resolutions, some 4,000 years ago. They were also the first to hold recorded celebrations in honor of the new year—though for them the year began not in January but in mid-March, when the crops were planted. During a massive 12-day religious festival known as Akitu, the Babylonians crowned a new king or reaffirmed their loyalty to the reigning king. They also made promises to the gods to pay their debts and return any objects they had borrowed. These promises could be considered the forerunners of our New Year’s resolutions. If the Babylonians kept to their word, their (pagan) gods would bestow favor on them for the coming year. If not, they would fall out of the gods’ favor—a place no one wanted to be.


A similar practice occurred in ancient Rome, after the reform-minded emperor Julius Caesar tinkered with the calendar and established January 1 as the beginning of the new year circa 46 B.C. Named for Janus, the two-faced god whose spirit inhabited doorways and arches, January had special significance for the Romans. Believing that Janus symbolically looked backwards into the previous year and ahead into the future, the Romans offered sacrifices to the deity and made promises of good conduct for the coming year.


For early Christians, the first day of the new year became the traditional occasion for thinking about one’s past mistakes and resolving to do and be better in the future. In 1740, the English clergyman John Wesley, founder of Methodism, created the Covenant Renewal Service, most commonly held on New Year’s Eve or New Year’s Day. Also known as known as watch night services, they included readings from Scriptures and hymn singing, and served as a spiritual alternative to the raucous celebrations normally held to celebrate the coming of the new year. Now popular within evangelical Protestant churches, especially African American denominations and congregations, watch night services held on New Year’s Eve are often spent praying and making resolutions for the coming year.


Despite the tradition’s religious roots, New Year’s resolutions today are a mostly secular practice. Instead of making promises to the gods, most people make resolutions only to themselves, and focus purely on self-improvement (which may explain why such resolutions seem so hard to follow through on). According to recent research, while as many as 45 percent of Americans say they usually make New Year’s resolutions, only 8 percent are successful in achieving their goals. But that dismal record probably won’t stop people from making resolutions anytime soon—after all, we’ve had about 4,000 years of practice.


https://www.history.com/news/the-history-of-new-years-resolutions